Crewe Alexandra vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 3
CRE
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 3
SOU
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 0
MAC
50%
22%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DAG
2 - 1
CRE
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 1
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
OXF
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 0
MAC
50%
22%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
SWI
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PLY
2 - 0
MAC
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |