Crewe Alexandra vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1893 |
WAL
3 - 3
CRE
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1893 |
CRE
2 - 1
BOO
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1892 |
CRE
1 - 3
BIR
22%
22%
57%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1892 |
LIN
1 - 1
CRE
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1892 |
GRI
4 - 0
CRE
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1893 |
DAR
3 - 1
LIN
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1893 |
LIN
3 - 4
BIR
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1892 |
NOR
2 - 1
LIN
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1892 |
LIN
1 - 1
CRE
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1892 |
LIN
2 - 1
MAC
21%
23%
57%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +1 |