Creteil vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
STL
1 - 1
LUS
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
LUS
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
LUS
3 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
TOU
4 - 2
LUS
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 1
LHA
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
NIO
1 - 0
LHA
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ARL
3 - 2
NIO
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
NIO
0 - 0
BRE
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
STL
1 - 1
NIO
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
NIO
1 - 0
LUS
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |