Creteil vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
LHA
3 - 1
LUS
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 3
TRO
30%
27%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 1
TOU
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
STL
5 - 1
LUS
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 3
TFC
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
ARL
0 - 0
CAB
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
STL
1 - 1
ARL
47%
26%
26%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ARL
1 - 0
BRE
37%
30%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 0
ARL
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ARL
0 - 0
DIJ
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |