Crema vs Vis Nova Giussano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NIB
0 - 0
CRE
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SON
1 - 1
CRE
34%
22%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 3
USP
58%
21%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 2
CRE
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 0
VCB
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vis Nova Giussano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
TRI
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
USP
0 - 0
NOV
63%
19%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
NIB
20%
21%
59%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SON
2 - 3
NOV
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
SCA
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |