CRB vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
41.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CRB
2 - 1
GRÊ
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
IFC
3 - 2
CRB
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
CRB
0 - 1
VIT
18%
25%
57%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
JEC
3 - 1
CRB
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CRB
0 - 0
BOA
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
CEA
0 - 1
PAR
68%
20%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 1
PAR
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
AMF
0 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |