CRB vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CRB
5 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
COR
1 - 2
CRB
14%
21%
66%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CRB
4 - 0
CEO
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 2
CRB
18%
24%
59%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
AMF
1 - 0
CRB
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LAG
0 - 0
CON
12%
20%
69%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
DOR
78%
15%
8%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
CON
15%
21%
64%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CON
2 - 2
OSE
85%
12%
3%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |