Copa do Nordeste . Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
CRB vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 3
CRB
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CRB
3 - 1
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
CRB
3 - 1
CAM
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 1
CRB
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CRB
0 - 1
VIL
43%
28%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
CEA
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 3
FLA
24%
27%
49%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 0
SAO
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
CEA
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
CEA
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |