CRB vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
CRB
17%
26%
57%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
CRB
1 - 1
VAS
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CRB
0 - 1
GOI
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
CRB
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CRB
0 - 0
CRZ
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
GOI
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
REM
2 - 1
AVA
26%
30%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
AVA
3 - 1
VAS
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BRU
0 - 0
AVA
28%
29%
44%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
AVA
24%
30%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |