Cray Wanderers vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 2
CRA
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CRA
3 - 1
LEW
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
STA
3 - 0
CRA
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
UXB
1 - 3
CRA
20%
20%
60%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
WHI
0 - 3
CRA
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
WOR
4 - 1
BOW
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FOL
3 - 1
WOR
31%
24%
46%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
WOR
5 - 1
WEL
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
WOR
6 - 1
THR
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
WOR
2 - 1
POT
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |