FA Cup . 1/512
Global 5-4
Cray Valley PM vs Carshalton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cray Valley PM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
CRA
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CRA
2 - 0
HAR
70%
18%
13%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
CRA
4 - 3
NOR
68%
19%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
CRA
21%
23%
57%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BRO
0 - 2
CRA
31%
22%
48%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
CRA
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
HTG
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ENF
0 - 3
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
KIN
70%
18%
13%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |