Crawley Town vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 3
TOW
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 0
LEY
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CAM
3 - 1
CRA
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
BOU
2 - 1
CRA
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CRA
3 - 0
LEE
14%
19%
67%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +3 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 0
STE
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
TRA
0 - 1
STE
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
STE
2 - 2
MOR
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
STE
0 - 1
EXE
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
GRI
1 - 2
STE
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |