Crawley Town vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BCF
0 - 2
CRA
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
CRA
17%
26%
57%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
STA
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 1
DAG
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 5
CRA
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SHE
3 - 0
OXF
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
OXF
0 - 1
SOU
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 1
OXF
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
OXF
2 - 1
POR
48%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
OXF
5 - 1
PLY
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |