Crawley Town vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
LEY
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
BOL
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DON
0 - 1
CRA
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SWI
3 - 0
CRA
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 0
SCU
61%
21%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GIL
1 - 1
CHE
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
GIL
0 - 2
MID
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DAG
1 - 2
GIL
26%
26%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
WYC
0 - 1
GIL
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GIL
3 - 1
BRA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |