Crawley Down Gatwick vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Down Gatwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 3
CRA
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SIT
2 - 2
CRA
40%
25%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 2
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
COR
79%
14%
8%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 0
WOR
50%
22%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
MER
0 - 0
COR
77%
15%
9%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HYT
0 - 0
MER
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
MER
2 - 1
FOL
38%
24%
37%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MER
2 - 1
SIT
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DUL
4 - 1
MER
68%
19%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |