Crato vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
UDL
5 - 0
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
CRA
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CRA
1 - 2
SIN
15%
21%
64%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 0
CRA
57%
21%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 2
CAL
21%
24%
55%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
UDL
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UDL
0 - 0
PRA
22%
24%
55%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 1
CAL
59%
24%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
USA
3 - 2
UDL
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 1
RDA
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |