Crato vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAU
2 - 0
CRA
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
ICA
2 - 0
CRA
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
CRA
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CRA
2 - 1
PAC
71%
17%
13%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 0
GUA
62%
22%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
GLO
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |