Crato vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
64%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
CRA
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 1
PAC
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 1
ICA
38%
25%
38%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
45%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAU
2 - 0
CRA
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 1
FER
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
FER
5 - 2
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
FER
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 0
FER
17%
21%
62%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |