CRAC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
66.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
CRA
84%
13%
3%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 2
ITU
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 1
CRA
86%
11%
3%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 0
JAT
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
ANA
2 - 0
CRA
42%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
GIO
78%
16%
6%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
REM
0 - 0
VIL
36%
28%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
REM
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
NME
1 - 1
VIL
11%
18%
70%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
VIL
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |