CRAC vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
CRA
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
TRE
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
CRA
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
CRB
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
CRA
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ASA
3 - 3
SAL
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
CUI
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PAY
1 - 0
SAL
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 0
BOT
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 0
AGU
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |