CRAC vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GOI
3 - 0
CRA
31%
25%
45%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
58%
23%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
CRA
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
MOG
24%
27%
49%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 1
GOI
11%
18%
70%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
TRI
3 - 2
ANA
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 1
TRI
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ANA
2 - 2
SAN
52%
23%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
ANA
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |