CP Alertanavia vs Caselas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Alertanavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
ALE
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
ATL
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 3
ALE
27%
24%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 0
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 3
MOA
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 1
CAS
60%
21%
20%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
GUA
37%
24%
39%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
5 - 1
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 2
MAR
25%
22%
53%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 3
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +1 |