Lowland League . Jor. 12

Cowdenbeath vs East Stirlingshire analysis

Cowdenbeath East Stirlingshire
33 ELO 31
-14% Tilt -15.7%
6224º General ELO ranking 7960º
63º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
35.1%
Cowdenbeath
23.4%
Draw
41.5%
East Stirlingshire

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
41.5%
Win probability
East Stirlingshire
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cowdenbeath
-11%
+47%
East Stirlingshire

Points and table prediction

Cowdenbeath
Their league position
East Stirlingshire
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
12º
17º
15º
33
14º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spartans
79
79
100%
Rangers FC II
74
77
100%
Celtic II
76
76
100%
Stirling University
71
71
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
65
65
100%
East Kilbride
64
64
100%
Berwick Rangers
61
61
100%
Civil Service Strollers
58
58
100%
Bo'ness United
54
54
100%
Caledonian Braves
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Broomhill FC
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Hearts II
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Cowdenbeath
15º
36
36
15º
100%
East Stirlingshire
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
26
26
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Dalbeattie Star
19º
8
8
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cowdenbeath
East Stirlingshire
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cowdenbeath
East Stirlingshire
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2022
STI
Stirling University
1 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
65%
19%
16%
32 37 5 0
24 Sep. 2022
TRA
Tranent Juniors FC
4 - 2
Cowdenbeath
CWB
81%
13%
6%
32 48 16 0
17 Sep. 2022
CWB
Cowdenbeath
0 - 1
Bo'ness United
BON
32%
25%
42%
33 37 4 -1
03 Sep. 2022
CWB
Cowdenbeath
3 - 0
Gretna 2008
GRE
81%
13%
6%
33 12 21 0
30 Aug. 2022
CWB
Cowdenbeath
3 - 0
AFC Edinburgh University
AFC
78%
15%
7%
33 16 17 0

Matches

East Stirlingshire
East Stirlingshire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2022
THE
East Stirlingshire
1 - 4
Spartans
SPA
26%
24%
51%
34 42 8 0
24 Sep. 2022
BON
Bo'ness United
6 - 0
East Stirlingshire
THE
56%
22%
23%
36 37 1 -2
17 Sep. 2022
FOR
Formartine United
3 - 1
East Stirlingshire
THE
64%
19%
18%
36 43 7 0
03 Sep. 2022
THE
East Stirlingshire
2 - 2
Tranent Juniors FC
TRA
14%
19%
67%
36 51 15 0
30 Aug. 2022
EAS
East Kilbride
1 - 1
East Stirlingshire
THE
77%
15%
8%
36 51 15 0
X