Challenge Cup . 1/16

Cowdenbeath vs Brechin City analysis

Cowdenbeath Brechin City
54 ELO 48
16.5% Tilt 7.9%
6361º General ELO ranking 2990º
65º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
69.9%
Cowdenbeath
17.4%
Draw
12.7%
Brechin City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.7%
Win probability
Brechin City
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Cowdenbeath
Brechin City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2014
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 3
Cowdenbeath
CWB
50%
23%
27%
54 54 0 0
14 May. 2014
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
48%
23%
29%
54 54 0 0
10 May. 2014
CWB
Cowdenbeath
3 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
69%
18%
14%
53 44 9 +1
07 May. 2014
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 2
Cowdenbeath
CWB
36%
24%
40%
53 45 8 0
03 May. 2014
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 1
Queen of the South
QOS
28%
25%
47%
52 64 12 +1

Matches

Brechin City
Brechin City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2014
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 3
Stenhousemuir
STE
46%
23%
31%
47 50 3 0
26 Apr. 2014
EAS
East Fife
1 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
32%
24%
44%
47 37 10 0
19 Apr. 2014
STR
Stranraer
1 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
64%
19%
17%
46 50 4 +1
12 Apr. 2014
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 1
Airdrieonians
AIR
51%
22%
27%
46 48 2 0
05 Apr. 2014
BRE
Brechin City
2 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
53%
22%
26%
45 46 1 +1
X