Coventry City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
WHU
1 - 0
COV
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
COV
2 - 0
BHA
33%
30%
37%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
COV
1 - 0
BRI
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
POS
1 - 0
COV
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COV
0 - 1
HUL
27%
28%
46%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
BHA
3 - 0
SOU
29%
25%
45%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 1
BRI
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 0
CRY
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
OPA
1 - 1
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 2
BPO
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |