Coventry City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
COV
0 - 1
MIL
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
HUR
1 - 1
COV
35%
28%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
COV
1 - 2
WBA
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BOU
2 - 2
COV
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
COV
0 - 0
BIR
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
REA
2 - 2
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
DER
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
WBA
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
BPO
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 0
DER
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |