Coventry City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PNE
2 - 1
COV
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BBU
2 - 2
COV
48%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
COV
4 - 1
FUL
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
LUT
5 - 0
COV
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
COV
3 - 0
POS
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
LUT
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PNE
0 - 0
DER
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DER
0 - 0
SWA
23%
26%
52%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
REA
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 0
DER
65%
23%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |