Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 0
COS
76%
17%
8%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
COS
4 - 0
FAE
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 3
COS
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
COS
4 - 1
MUR
14%
21%
65%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +7 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
COS
83%
12%
4%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIB
38%
28%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 2
VIR
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 2
TFI
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DOM
1 - 2
VIR
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
VIR
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |