San Marino League Normal Season Round 15

Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis

Cosmos Tre Fiori
51 ELO 68
5.1% Tilt 3.1%
1867º General ELO ranking 1872º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13.7%
Cosmos
22.8%
Draw
63.5%
Tre Fiori

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
Cosmos
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
63.5%
Win probability
Tre Fiori
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cosmos
-7%
-1%
Tre Fiori

Points and table prediction

Cosmos
Their league position
Tre Fiori
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
56
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tre Penne
68
68
100%
Cosmos
67
67
100%
La Fiorita
60
60
100%
AC Virtus
57
57
100%
Tre Fiori
56
56
100%
Libertas
47
47
100%
Folgore
31
31
100%
Murata
30
30
100%
Juvenes / Dogana
29
29
100%
Domagnano
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Pennarossa
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Faetano
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Fiorentino
13º
23
23
13º
100%
San Giovanni
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Cailungo
15º
18
18
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cosmos
Tre Fiori
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Next round
100% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cosmos
Tre Fiori
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cosmos
Cosmos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
FOL
Folgore
0 - 4
Cosmos
COS
60%
23%
17%
48 58 10 0
18 Dec. 2022
CAI
Cailungo
0 - 0
Cosmos
COS
32%
25%
43%
48 44 4 0
10 Dec. 2022
COS
Cosmos
1 - 0
Tre Penne
TPE
9%
19%
72%
47 66 19 +1
03 Dec. 2022
VIR
AC Virtus
0 - 0
Cosmos
COS
63%
22%
15%
47 58 11 0
26 Nov. 2022
COS
Cosmos
4 - 0
Fiorentino
FIO
35%
25%
40%
44 49 5 +3

Matches

Tre Fiori
Tre Fiori
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
TFI
Tre Fiori
1 - 1
La Fiorita
FIO
49%
25%
26%
68 65 3 0
18 Dec. 2022
JUV
Juvenes / Dogana
0 - 1
Tre Fiori
TFI
10%
21%
69%
68 46 22 0
14 Dec. 2022
VIR
AC Virtus
3 - 1
Tre Fiori
TFI
19%
22%
59%
69 58 11 -1
04 Dec. 2022
FIO
Fiorentino
0 - 3
Tre Fiori
TFI
11%
22%
67%
68 48 20 +1
30 Nov. 2022
TFI
Tre Fiori
1 - 0
AC Virtus
VIR
66%
19%
15%
68 58 10 0