Cosmos vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
COS
2 - 1
PEN
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FAE
2 - 2
COS
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 2
COS
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
COS
0 - 5
MUR
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
COS
0 - 3
FAE
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 2
LIB
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FIO
0 - 0
MUR
22%
22%
56%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FAE
1 - 2
MUR
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
COS
0 - 5
MUR
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +2 |