Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
COS
2 - 2
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
5 - 0
COS
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 0
COS
40%
25%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
COS
1 - 2
CAI
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
COS
3 - 1
DOM
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 1
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
SGI
62%
22%
15%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 4
LIB
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
PEN
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 3
TPE
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |