Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAI
0 - 3
COS
12%
21%
67%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
3 - 3
COS
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COS
0 - 0
SGI
79%
14%
6%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
TPE
36%
23%
42%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 0
COS
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
68%
20%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
14%
23%
63%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAI
79%
15%
7%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FAE
1 - 4
FIO
10%
22%
68%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |