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Serie D. Group D, Matchday 17

Correggese vs Ghivizzano Borgo analysis

Correggese Ghivizzano Borgo
24 ELO 18
72% Tilt 9%
4411º General ELO ranking 5146º
124º Country ELO ranking 210º
ELO win probability
66.4%
Correggese
18.2%
Draw
15.3%
Ghivizzano Borgo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
Correggese
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.3%
Win probability
Ghivizzano Borgo
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Correggese
+69%
-16%
Ghivizzano Borgo

Points and table prediction

Correggese
Their league position
Ghivizzano Borgo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
10º
41
11º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fiorenzuola
75
75
100%
Aglianese
73
73
100%
Lentigione
65
65
100%
Prato
54
54
100%
Rimini
52
52
50%
Forli
52
52
50%
Pro Livorno
48
48
100%
Correggese
47
47
100%
Real Forte Querceta
46
46
100%
Sammaurese
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Ghivizzano Borgo
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Bagnolese
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Mezzolara
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Seravezza
14º
36
36
14º
50%
Progresso
15º
36
36
15º
50%
Sasso Marconi
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Marignanese
17º
29
29
17º
100%
Corticella
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Correggese
Ghivizzano Borgo
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Correggese
COR
Ghivizzano Borgo
GHI
Lentigione
LEN
Sasso Marconi
ASD
Real Forte Querceta
USR
Progresso
PRO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Correggese
Correggese
1%
X%
2%
ELO COR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2021
USR
Real Forte Querceta
2 - 1
Correggese
COR
45%
27%
28%
313 263 -50 0
21 Apr. 2021
COR
Correggese
2 - 2
Rimini
RIM
42%
28%
31%
313 399 -86 0
31 Jan. 2021
COR
Correggese
3 - 1
Sammaurese
SAM
46%
27%
26%
311 255 56 +2
24 Jan. 2021
PRO
Progresso
1 - 1
Correggese
COR
46%
27%
27%
311 277 -34 0
17 Jan. 2021
COR
Correggese
4 - 0
Corticella
COR
47%
27%
26%
308 283 25 +3

Matches

Ghivizzano Borgo
Ghivizzano Borgo
1%
X%
2%
ELO GHI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Feb. 2021
GHI
Ghivizzano Borgo
2 - 0
Rimini
RIM
41%
27%
32%
239 399 -160 +2
03 Feb. 2021
PRO
Progresso
2 - 1
Ghivizzano Borgo
GHI
47%
27%
26%
241 275 34 -1
31 Jan. 2021
GHI
Ghivizzano Borgo
0 - 1
Fiorenzuola
FIO
47%
27%
26%
242 206 36 -2
24 Jan. 2021
SAM
Sammaurese
1 - 1
Ghivizzano Borgo
GHI
45%
27%
28%
242 255 13 0
17 Jan. 2021
GHI
Ghivizzano Borgo
0 - 1
Aglianese
ACA
39%
28%
33%
244 420 -176 -1