Liga de Expansión MX - Clausura round 3

Correcaminos UAT vs Venados FC analysis

Correcaminos UAT Venados FC
65 ELO 60
13.5% Tilt -6.3%
2509º General ELO ranking 1155º
38º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Correcaminos UAT
22.6%
Draw
18.7%
Venados FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
Correcaminos UAT
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.7%
Win probability
Venados FC
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Correcaminos UAT
-3%
+4%
Venados FC

ELO progression

Correcaminos UAT
Venados FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Correcaminos UAT
Correcaminos UAT
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2021
ATL
Atlante FC
1 - 0
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
47%
27%
26%
64 66 2 0
14 Jan. 2021
UAT
Correcaminos UAT
3 - 0
Cancún
CFC
56%
24%
20%
63 61 2 +1
19 Nov. 2020
UAT
Correcaminos UAT
1 - 2
Atlante FC
ATL
39%
26%
35%
64 70 6 -1
15 Nov. 2020
UAT
Correcaminos UAT
2 - 3
CA Morelia
MOR
24%
24%
52%
64 76 12 0
11 Nov. 2020
UDG
Leones Negros
3 - 1
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
43%
27%
30%
65 64 1 -1

Matches

Venados FC
Venados FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2020
MOR
CA Morelia
1 - 0
Venados FC
MER
78%
15%
7%
61 76 15 0
18 Nov. 2020
ZAC
Mineros de Zacatecas
1 - 2
Venados FC
MER
73%
18%
10%
60 73 13 +1
13 Nov. 2020
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 - 0
Venados FC
MER
55%
25%
20%
61 67 6 -1
04 Nov. 2020
MER
Venados FC
1 - 3
Pumas Tabasco
SPT
54%
25%
21%
62 58 4 -1
01 Nov. 2020
MER
Venados FC
2 - 1
Leones Negros
UDG
39%
27%
34%
61 65 4 +1