Coronel Aguirre vs Atlético San Jorge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coronel Aguirre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 2
BHU
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TFE
2 - 0
AGU
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 1
9DJ
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SRI
1 - 0
AGU
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 4
ADI
67%
19%
15%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético San Jorge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 2
9DJ
72%
17%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
SRI
70%
18%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BHU
2 - 0
ATL
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
ADI
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TFE
1 - 1
ATL
56%
21%
22%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |