Coritiba vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1974 |
COR
1 - 0
COT
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
PAL
0 - 0
COT
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
COT
0 - 1
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1973 |
COT
2 - 1
COR
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1973 |
GRE
1 - 0
COT
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1974 |
VAS
1 - 2
SCI
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
VAS
1 - 2
AMF
59%
22%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1973 |
VAS
2 - 1
AME
62%
21%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1973 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLU
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |