Coritiba vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
COT
1 - 0
CEC
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 0
COT
62%
23%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1979 |
COT
5 - 0
MIX
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
BRA
0 - 1
COT
17%
23%
60%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
AME
3 - 0
COT
51%
27%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAM
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
CEC
2 - 1
FRA
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1979 |
AME
4 - 1
FRA
85%
11%
5%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
FRA
2 - 1
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1979 |
MIX
0 - 1
FRA
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |