Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/32
Global 4-1
Corinthians vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
COR
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
COR
3 - 1
LIN
74%
19%
7%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
COR
1 - 1
RBB
67%
22%
11%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
COR
21%
26%
53%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCH
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UCH
2 - 1
UNI
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ACS
0 - 3
UCH
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 3
UCH
46%
25%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
UCH
0 - 0
EVE
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |