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Brazilian Serie A. Matchday 26

Corinthians vs Fluminense analysis

Corinthians Fluminense
74 ELO 75
-3% Tilt -14%
144º General ELO ranking 141º
11º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
49.2%
Corinthians
27.8%
Draw
23%
Fluminense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
Corinthians
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
23%
Win probability
Fluminense
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Corinthians
-18%
-27%
Fluminense

Basic stats

53
47
POS
8
13
SOT
8
3
COR
1
0
GF
0
1
GC
9
5
FRK
74
75
ELO
1.4
0.8
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Corinthians
Their league position
Fluminense
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
17º
25
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Atl. Mineiro
39
61
30%
Palmeiras
38
58
26%
Fortaleza EC
33
49
11%
RB Bragantino
32
54
21%
Flamengo
31
60
3%
Corinthians
28
43
9%
Fluminense
25
41
6%
Atlético GO
25
37
12º
7%
Athletico Paranaense
24
41
6%
Cuiabá
10º
24
34
15º
6%
Ceará
11º
24
38
11º
7%
Internacional
12º
23
41
6%
EC Juventude
13º
23
34
16º
7%
São Paulo
14º
23
36
14º
7%
Santos FC
15º
22
37
13º
6%
Bahía
16º
21
39
10º
6%
América Mineiro
17º
19
32
17º
10%
Sport Recife
18º
17
25
19º
11%
Grêmio
19º
16
30
18º
13%
Chapecoense
20º
7
21
20º
68%
Expected probabilities
Corinthians
Fluminense
Champion
1% 1%
Copa Libertadores
13% 7%
Copa Libertadores knockout stages
19% 14%
South American Liguilla
36% 38%
Mid-table
20% 24%
Relegation
10% 15%

ELO progression

Corinthians
COR
Fluminense
FLU
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
São Paulo
SAO
Ceará
CEA
Flamengo
FLA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Corinthians
Corinthians
1%
X%
2%
ELO COR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2021
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 0
Corinthians
COR
37%
28%
35%
2140 1636 -504 -13
06 Oct. 2021
COR
Corinthians
3 - 1
Bahía
BAH
56%
24%
20%
2130 1824 306 +10
03 Oct. 2021
BRA
RB Bragantino
2 - 2
Corinthians
COR
46%
27%
27%
2130 1982 -148 0
26 Sep. 2021
COR
Corinthians
2 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
37%
28%
35%
2118 2639 -521 +13
19 Sep. 2021
COR
Corinthians
1 - 1
América Mineiro
AMF
61%
22%
17%
2123 1524 599 -5

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO FLU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2021
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 0
Atlético GO
ATL
62%
21%
17%
2140 1583 557 -5
07 Oct. 2021
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 2
Fortaleza EC
FOR
58%
23%
19%
2162 1696 466 -21
26 Sep. 2021
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 1
RB Bragantino
BRA
52%
26%
22%
2154 1972 182 +8
21 Sep. 2021
CUI
Cuiabá
2 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
29%
27%
44%
2159 1266 -893 -5
16 Sep. 2021
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
1 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
57%
23%
20%
2166 2491 325 -5