Corinthians vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 2
COR
28%
29%
43%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
COR
2 - 1
GOI
60%
24%
16%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
41%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 0
COR
38%
28%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
COT
0 - 1
COR
26%
29%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 2
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
FLU
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
FLU
3 - 1
ATP
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |