Corinthians vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 2
COR
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
COR
2 - 1
PAL
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
AMF
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
COR
42%
29%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
JUV
72%
19%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SCI
2 - 0
BAH
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
BRA
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAH
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BAH
4 - 2
FOR
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 0
BAH
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |