Non League Div One Northern Midlands round 38

Corby Town vs Gresley analysis

Corby Town Gresley
36 ELO 23
3.1% Tilt 10.9%
14587º General ELO ranking 16390º
406º Country ELO ranking 557º
ELO win probability
78.9%
Corby Town
13.2%
Draw
7.8%
Gresley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
Corby Town
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.8%
Win probability
Gresley
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Corby Town
+25%
+7%
Gresley

Points and table prediction

Corby Town
Their league position
Gresley
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
11º
29
13º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Harborough Town
91
91
100%
Spalding United
89
89
100%
Anstey Nomads
88
88
100%
Hinckley LR
70
70
100%
Quorn
66
66
100%
Loughborough Dynamo FC
62
62
100%
Lye Town
61
61
100%
Corby Town
56
56
100%
Bedworth United
51
51
0%
Sutton Coldfield Town
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Walsall Wood
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Sporting Khalsa
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Boldmere St. Michaels
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Shepshed
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Coleshill Town FC
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Coventry Sphinx
16º
32
32
16º
0%
Cambridge City
17º
32
32
17º
0%
Rugby Town
18º
32
32
18º
0%
Rushden & Diamonds
19º
32
32
19º
0%
Gresley
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Corby Town
Gresley
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Corby Town
Gresley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Corby Town
Corby Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
LOU
Loughborough Dynamo FC
2 - 2
Corby Town
COR
32%
22%
46%
37 32 5 0
18 Apr. 2024
ANN
Anstey Nomads
2 - 2
Corby Town
COR
65%
20%
16%
37 46 9 0
13 Apr. 2024
COR
Corby Town
7 - 1
Sporting Khalsa
SPO
59%
20%
21%
36 31 5 +1
06 Apr. 2024
SUT
Sutton Coldfield Town
0 - 1
Corby Town
COR
35%
22%
43%
36 33 3 0
01 Apr. 2024
COR
Corby Town
4 - 0
Cambridge City
CAM
80%
13%
7%
36 21 15 0

Matches

Gresley
Gresley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2024
SHE
Shepshed
2 - 0
Gresley
GRE
39%
24%
38%
23 22 1 0
13 Apr. 2024
LER
Hinckley LR
3 - 1
Gresley
GRE
67%
19%
14%
24 37 13 -1
06 Apr. 2024
GRE
Gresley
1 - 0
Lye Town
LYE
14%
19%
66%
22 39 17 +2
01 Apr. 2024
GRE
Gresley
1 - 1
Rugby Town
RUG
49%
22%
29%
22 20 2 0
30 Mar. 2024
BOL
Boldmere St. Michaels
5 - 1
Gresley
GRE
63%
20%
17%
23 30 7 -1