Corby Town vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
DRO
2 - 1
COR
64%
19%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 2
COR
65%
19%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
COR
2 - 3
WOR
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
TOW
6 - 2
COR
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NUN
2 - 0
COR
61%
22%
16%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 5
HIN
46%
24%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SOL
1 - 0
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
COL
4 - 1
BIS
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
BLY
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
HIS
0 - 0
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |