Conwy Borough FC vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
LLA
62%
18%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CON
0 - 2
RTW
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CON
1 - 2
GUI
24%
23%
54%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 0
CON
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RTW
1 - 3
CON
42%
22%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 3
COL
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 3
GRE
31%
21%
48%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BAN
3 - 0
GRE
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
RHY
1 - 2
GRE
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 0
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |