Constància vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
UDA
1 - 2
CON
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CON
3 - 1
CFP
67%
21%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CLL
2 - 0
CON
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
CON
18%
25%
56%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
CAM
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
CAM
42%
27%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 4
FER
41%
25%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
PXD
19%
25%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PCE
1 - 1
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
SDF
20%
26%
54%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |