Athlético Marseille vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 1
CON
37%
26%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
CON
3 - 0
LES
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
BEZ
1 - 4
CON
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
ORL
38%
26%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 1
CON
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 1
SPI
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 1
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 1
AMI
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 0
SPI
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
SPI
0 - 2
SED
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |