Athlético Marseille vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
USM
0 - 1
CON
6%
14%
80%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CON
2 - 2
CBL
81%
12%
7%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CON
6 - 0
MAR
87%
10%
4%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
1 - 3
CON
7%
14%
80%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 2
CAN
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 0
RSV
69%
17%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NIC
4 - 0
AJA
47%
23%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
AJA
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 3
IST
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SCR
0 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |