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J1 League. Matchday 16

Consadole Sapporo Sagan Tosu
46 ELO 42
31% Tilt 12%
1406º General ELO ranking 1994º
12º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
59.9%
Consadole Sapporo
20.9%
Draw
19.2%
Sagan Tosu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
Consadole Sapporo
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.2%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Consadole Sapporo
+25%
+19%
Sagan Tosu

Basic stats

52
48
POS
9
9
SOT
6
3
COR
13
8
FRK
46
42
ELO
2
1.1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Consadole Sapporo
Their league position
Sagan Tosu
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
16º
33
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kawasaki Frontale
52
89
93%
Nagoya Grampus
37
62
17%
Yokohama F. Marinos
34
77
4%
Sagan Tosu
33
61
10%
Avispa Fukuoka
29
55
7%
Vissel Kobe
28
57
7%
Urawa Reds
28
54
7%
Kashima Antlers
27
62
6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26
51
12º
6%
Cerezo Osaka
10º
23
54
10º
6%
Consadole Sapporo
11º
22
58
6%
FC Tokyo
12º
22
52
11º
6%
Tokushima Vortis
13º
19
41
13º
7%
Shonan Bellmare
14º
18
39
14º
8%
Shimizu S-Pulse
15º
15
34
17º
9%
Gamba Osaka
16º
14
27
19º
9%
Kashiwa Reysol
17º
14
36
15º
8%
Vegalta Sendai
18º
14
36
16º
9%
Oita Trinita
19º
12
32
18º
8%
Yokohama
20º
7
26
20º
25%
Expected probabilities
Consadole Sapporo
Sagan Tosu
Champion
0% 1%
AFC Champions League
15% 22%
Mid-table
75% 70%
Relegation
11% 6%

ELO progression

Consadole Sapporo
CON
Sagan Tosu
SAG
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
Vissel Kobe
VIS
Yokohama F. Marinos
FCY
Urawa Reds
URA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Consadole Sapporo
Consadole Sapporo
1%
X%
2%
ELO CON ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2021
CON
Consadole Sapporo
2 - 0
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
53%
26%
22%
803 535 268 +7
19 May. 2021
CON
Consadole Sapporo
0 - 0
Kashima Antlers
KAA
39%
28%
33%
802 1144 -342 +2
16 May. 2021
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
2 - 0
Consadole Sapporo
CON
62%
22%
17%
806 1459 653 -5
09 May. 2021
TOK
Tokushima Vortis
1 - 2
Consadole Sapporo
CON
47%
27%
26%
800 786 -14 +6
05 May. 2021
CON
Consadole Sapporo
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
51%
25%
23%
794 663 131 +6

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Kashima Antlers
KAA
35%
27%
37%
649 1144 -495 +8
19 May. 2021
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
4 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
46%
27%
28%
660 598 -62 -11
15 May. 2021
OIT
Oita Trinita
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
47%
27%
26%
659 663 4 0
08 May. 2021
SAG
Sagan Tosu
0 - 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
44%
27%
29%
658 794 -136 0
05 May. 2021
CON
Consadole Sapporo
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
51%
25%
23%
664 795 131 -5