Connecticut vs Westchester Flames analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connecticut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
CAC
2 - 2
WES
46%
21%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
CAC
1 - 3
GBF
40%
22%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
CAC
2 - 1
SEA
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
WES
4 - 0
CAC
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
CAC
1 - 2
BOS
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Westchester Flames
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
CAC
2 - 2
WES
46%
21%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
WES
2 - 1
SEA
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
WES
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SEA
4 - 0
WES
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
WES
2 - 2
GBF
32%
21%
46%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |