Connecticut vs Portland Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connecticut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
REA
1 - 1
CAC
73%
16%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
WES
2 - 2
CAC
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
CAC
2 - 1
NEW
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
CAC
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
CAC
0 - 2
REA
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Portland Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
SEA
0 - 1
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
SEA
41%
25%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
JER
18%
20%
62%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
CAC
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
POR
3 - 0
WES
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |